Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Harlem is HOT

As recently as two years ago, you could get a lovely three bedroom in a great Harlem location for under $1 million.

Those days are gone.

To clarify, the area I'm specifically referring to is part of Central Harlem, loosely from 112-125th street, from Morningside Park to Lenox. I like other areas of Central Harlem as well (Striver's Row, Mt. Morris, CCNY), but I'm confining this discussion to these parameters, which I know best.

A three bedroom, from about 1200 sf to about 1500 sf could reliably be found from just under $1 million to about $1.3 on the high ish end. Obviously they go higher for more amenities or outdoor space, or a newer building, but this was a reliable range.

As of today, there are only a few which fit into this criteria:

1. OK, this is my listing, so the blog seems totally self serving. Which is fine--it's my blog. But it doesn't mean it's not true. This is is 1300 sf in a great location. pretty view, apartment in good condition. Under $1,200,000. It's the best deal out there in Harlem.

http://www.randny.com/listing/2235-Frederick-Douglass-B/10377702


2.  http://www.halstead.com/sale/ny/manhattan/harlem/1845-adam-clayton-powell/condo/11297655

This is not even 1200 sf and it's first floor. It's over $ 1 Million.

3.  http://www.corcoran.com/nyc/Listings/Display/3357131

This is a lovely building and a spacious apt. It's asking $1,350,000, which is out of range for a lot of the buyers looking to spend closer to $1 Million. These apts were asking $100,000 less only a year ago, and selling for that range as well.

Even if you go up to $1.7, there aren't a lot of choices.  I think there's less inventory, but when new construction apartments appear, they seem to go very quickly as well.

Frederick Douglass Boulevard is a fantastic place to live. Close to the B and C train, and not far from the 2 or 3 or the A train at 125th street. Lots of lovely local restaurants, but also services like a butcher, a local wine shop, dry cleaners, a French patisserie. This area will only continue to climb as new developments continue to hit the market.



Tuesday, September 9, 2014

The Value of Shopping Local

Today I walked out of my local market, Mani Market, feeling grateful to have them in my neighborhood. Mani is a local treasure, run by two Greek brothers. It has fantastic produce, often local when possible, but also incredible spinach pie, homemade Greek Yogurt, and the best sandwiches on the Upper West Side.

Mani has been squeezed for years--first by Fresh Direct, then by Whole Foods. I admit to shopping there less since Whole Foods appeared, but there's a renewed sense of urgency because I wouldn't want to lose them.

What would happen if Mani disappeared? Besides people losing their livelihood, the neighborhood loses a piece of itself. We know that another grocery store won't take it's place, so what--a nail salon? A bank? A CVS? Something will replace it that will chip away at the fiber of what makes that corner special. So I'm making every effort to shop there every day.

Incidentally, Rand Realty is local too. We know the area so well because we live here, our children grow up here, go to school here. We walk our dogs here, we play in the parks here.

Shop local, it makes the neighborhood a more vibrant place.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Upper West Side Street Food

Great News for Upper West Siders, and a sure sign of spring: The Empanada Lady is back!

The lady with the food truck at Riverside near the ball fields at 101 street is back, and she's got a much bigger cart with lots of food from Ecuador!

If you haven't tried them, her beef, chicken and cheese empanadas are the best around. 

In addition, there's a food truck called the El Paso Taco Truck which is often parked in front of Whole Foods on Columbus and 98th street. Yummy tacos and more!

Who says the upper West Side doesn't have great food?

Monday, April 7, 2014

Morningside Heights

The general boundaries for Morningside Heights include 106th street to the South, Riverside Drive to the West, Morningside Drive to the East, and somewhere around 125th street on the northside.

Morningside Heights has always been dominated by Columbia University. The University is the largest landowner, the biggest landlord, and often the center of local protests and anguish. It's also given the neighborhood its intellectual and cultural bent. The area has always been known for its multicultural, lefty feel and its plethora of bookstores. This is the upper West Side that people refer to.

Morningside is home to the best children's bookstore in the city: Bank Street Bookstore. Its staff is unbelievably knowledgeable and helpful and it is the best place to browse children's books as well as educator's books. In addition, there are now 2 offshoots of Book Culture (formerly Labrynth Books) in the area.  What other neighborhood offers 3 independent bookstores?

Broadway is the main shopping avenue, although Amsterdam offers some quirky, often wonderful shops and restaurants. In particular, V and T (some of the best pizza around, next to Sal and Carmines on 101st street), the Hungarian Pastry Shop, Kitchenette Restaurant.

Amsterdam Avenue is becoming the new restuarant row, with Thai market, the ramen shop, and La Toulousaine bakery.

Also on Amsterdam is the Cathedral of St John the Divine, a wonder to behold of architecture and faith. Next to it is St. Lukes Hospital.

In terms of schools in the neighborhood, most people send their kids to public school outside the catchment, but many choose the public option. As for private schools, there are many excellent schools to choose from including the Columbia school, the Bank Street School, St. Hilda's, the Cathedral School, the school at Riverside Church (another architectural wonder).

As for restaurants, those who say that the neighborhood doesn't have any, doesn't know the neighborhood. In addition to Kitchenette (best comfort food around...makes good enough to eat seem like wendy's), there's Community,  Ollie's, Mel's Burgers, Terrace in the Sky. West Side Market is a beloved local market, there's a farmer's market in season at 114th and Broadway, the hummus at Samad's market is the best I've ever had, and Absolute Bagels puts H and H to shame. While technically a little south of Morningside Heights, the Silver Moon bakery has the best bread in Manhattan. Not to mention those ridiculous Bavarian pretzels.

As for the real estate, there is no question in my mind that in general, you will get more for your money in Morningside Heights. West of Broadway is safe and beautiful all the way up. Many apartments on Broadway are glorious and spacious. Some buildings on Amsterdam are equally charming with gracious layouts. 

There's a local subway at 116th, 110th, and 103rd. The neighborhood may to some feel overrun with students, but I find it a refreshing change from the mallification overcrowding of the 70's and 80's.

Morningside Heights feels like a real neighborhood. It's diverse, vibrant and improving all the time. Pilates Shop/Yoga Garage has one of the most experienced team of instructors anywhere in the city. (Peter Roel, the owner, trained with the original disciples). Riverside Park is filled with runners, children,dogs, soccer players (check out the playing fields from 101st and Riverside all the way to 108th and Riverside). At 103rd and Riverside is the Dog Park as well as a lovely seasonal restaurant overlooking the sandy volleyball area as well as the river. It makes me feel sorry for people who don't live here.

For those people who won't look above 96th street, I'd urge you to reconsider. Morningside Heights (and it's southern neighbor Manhattan Valley) have a lot to offer.

The Seven Stages of Buyers

Most of us know about the 7 stages of Grief and a lot can be understood when applying these principles to a buyer of Manhattan Real estate.

1. Shock and Denial. I would amend this for our purposes and add: Elation, then shock, then denial. First, the buyer is elated about purchaing a new home. She visualized herself by her fireplace, next to her window overlooking Central Park. She imagines the dinner parties with 50 guests and the exact shade of green she will paint her skim-coated bedroom. Pretty soon after the second or third weekend of open houses, shock and denial sets in.

She doesn't have enough for the down payment. She might not get a mortgage. What are transfer taxes anyway and why does she have to pay them? Why does she have to submit her financials to the board?

2. Pain and Guilt. Tortured by the lack of resources, our buyer second guesses herself and wonders whether she should have sold her rambling 2000 sf home with a patio, a parking spot, and a playroom. She wakes up with night sweats. She's filled with seller's remorse.

3.Anger and bargaining. Maybe it's her broker. Maybe she could get a different mortgage and have more to spend. She'll re-arrange every spreadsheet and WILL them to change.

4. Depression, reflection, lonliness. Her friends have gotten bored with open houses weeks ago. She spends way too long every night trolling the internet for new listings. (Hint: hitting refresh every five minutes probably won't find you an apartment any sooner).

5.The Upward Turn. Maybe she doesn't need a park view. Maybe she could make the closets in that pre-war work. The maintenance was good on the apartment she saw last week...

6. Reconstruction and working through. In her mind, she has created a false ideal of an apartment. But lately, she's liking more and more apartments on line, and she's able to visualize herself living in some, not all of them.

7. Acceptance and Hope. She found an apartment that she loves, she was able to trust her broker to negotiate, and she got a deal that she's thrilled with. She's moving in 2 months, and she'll invite you to her cocktail party. It may not have a Central Park View, but you can see the River from every room!

Sunday, March 30, 2014

Market View April 2014 Advice for Buyers

The current residential market is very familiar: low inventory and pent up demand. Even mediocre apartments are the subjects of bidding wars. We sold all of our inventory recently (not complaining, to be sure) and we have a lot of buyers waiting to pounce on the perfect apartment. I'm telling all of them the same thing: Get Ready!!!!

What does that mean from a buyer's perspective? Let's review...if you need a mortgage, get all your ducks in a row. Speak to a mortgage broker or a bank about how much you'll be able to finance. Get pre-approved if you can for said amount. If you can't get pre-approved, at least get pre-qualified. These days many sellers are able to get all cash deals or at least a non-contingent deal on their property. 

What does that mean? That means that you as a buyer are willing to waive the mortgage contingency that's often found in the contract of sale...that you will be on the hook for purchasing the apartment, regardless of whether or not you can secure the mortgage. It means that you need a back up plan if you don't get a mortgage or you risk losing your deposit.

An all cash or non-contingent offer puts a buyer in a much stronger position, assuming that their offer is also competitive. People often misinterpret a cash deal, in that they think they can offer far less for an apartment. While that may be true on occasion, it's simply not going to work in the current market.

What do I mean by current market? NYC seems to have 2 general selling seasons: Spring and Fall. The spring season starts in February, and the market sees a lot of new inventory in March and April. People have gotten their bonuses, kids have been accepted to schools, people want to be moved in before the school year starts, or just after the school year finishes in June. If you go to contact in March or April, June is a natural move out date.

September is the next big push. School has started again, people have returned from their vacations, and they start thinking about a bigger place/different place/better place. The market is very active until about Thanksgiving and dies down again through the holidays.

Back to getting prepared...as a buyer, you need to have a financial form filled out and ready to go showing your income, your assets and your debt. This is usually something that your broker will have to submit when submitting an offer. In my firm, we don't look at an offer with a REBNY financial form. If you want to see what one looks like, go here:

http://www.comitini.com/pdf/REBNY%20Financial%20Statement.pdf

Last piece of advice for a buyer: go see everything you can so that you'll know the right thing when you see it. If you've only seen a couple of apartments, you might let a gem slip away. In this market, that's a big mistake.




Sunday, January 9, 2011

Life in Lincoln Square

Lincoln Square runs from Columbus Circle north until 72 street. (The business district only runs until 70th street, but that's an unnatural cut-off. 72 street feels like an organic delineation).

This has always been a very fancy area to live--maybe the most chic on the Upper West Side. But recently it's gotten much more family friendly with a huge influx of new developments and businesses.

Some of the most beautiful buildings on the Upper West Side can be found in this neighborhood. 69th between Central Park West and Columbus has extraordinary townhouses (and also hosts one of the most famous Halloween block parties in the city). 67th street on the park block is home to Hotel des Artistes, as well as several other buildings that were constructed for musicians and artists in the early 20th century. Many of them feature double height living rooms, North facing for the artists, as well as over sized living rooms to accommodate the pianos and the other musicians. These buildings have a old world European feel to them, and most still have elevator operators.

Over the last 20 years, many condos have been built in the neighborhood. The Millennium buildings (Reebok) are high end condos, many of which have been combined into large, family sized apartments. Of course, a lot has been written about 15 CPW, but there are some extraordinary CPW buildings in this stretch, including 55 CPW (where Ghostbusters was filmed), 41 CPW (Harperly Hall, Madonna's former building), the Prasada (very intimate building with huge apts), and the San Remo. Of course the most impressive of them of is the Dakota, so named because when it was built in 1888, people joked that it was so far away it was like living in the Dakota territories.

To the West, Riverside Boulevard and the Trump buildings (and all the newer condos that have followed) are like a suburban vision of city life. I made fun of those buildings until I was invited to a pool party when my son was younger. At 240 RSB they have a baby pool and a grown up pool. (and about 100 other amenities.) I could definitely get used to living over there...it offers a really nice quality of life for the right buyers. Not to mention a stellar river view...

Along West End Avenue, Lincoln Towers comprise many buildings in the 60's up to 70th street. These post war behemoths were built for the middle classes and provided an affordable way to live in the city. They are still immensely popular and can offer large homes in a great location. They have also become NORCS (Naturally Occuring Retirement Communities) with lots of services for seniors.

As for extras, nothing beats living near Lincoln Center. It's the heart of cultural life in New York City, and as a result there have always been restaurants and other interesting businesses surrounding it.

In no particular order:

THE APPLE STORE
THE TIME WARNER CENTER (including WHOLE FOODS which brought needed grocery shopping to the southern end of Lincoln Square)
FAIRWAY
CITARELLA (just north but worth including)
LINCOLN SQUARE MOVIE THEATERS (including the art houses on Broadway)
THE SENSUOUS BEAN: great little coffee store, a truly endangered species
URGENT CARE MANHATTAN: high end walk in medical center (OK, it's owned by my husband but it's a welcome addition to the neighborhood, ask anyone!)

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Upper 90's with young children

Recently I was asked about this neighborhood with young children. Since I've raised 3 boys here, I feel like an expert on this particular subject. This list is highly subjective of course, and not really comprehensive. But it's a good snapshot. I'd love to hear from readers as well.

Schools: There are many different pre-schools to choose from, with lots of different philosophies.

1. Claremont School starts as early as 2's. located on Amsterdam and 96th street.
http://www.claremontschool.org/


2. Mandell School also starts early. Columbus and 96th street.

http://www.mandellschool.org/

3. Morningside Montessori: 100 st and WEA

http://www.morningsidemontessori.org/

4. Discovery Program: 100th and WEA

http://www.discoveryprograms.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103:on-my-own&catid=39:early-childhood-programs&Itemid=222

5. Basic Trust: this is day care and people adore it
http://www.basictrust.org/

Playgrounds: (these are all great)

1. 93rd and Central Park West
2. 90th and Central Park West
3. 97th and Central park West
4. 100th and Central park West (newly refurbished)
5. 91st and Riverside Hippo Park. the greatest of them all
6. 97th and Riverside Park Dinosaur Park

Fun and Sports:
NY Kids Club on Amsterdam and 89th street
http://www.nykidsclub.com/
Discovery program on 100th and WEA
Music Together: 251 w 100 street
Early Ear: 96th and Columbus
http://www.theearlyear.com/
Columbus Pre-School and Gym
http://www.columbuspreschoolandgym.com/COLUMBUSGYM.html
Super Soccer Stars
Carlos Oliveros Soccer
West Side Soccer league
West Side Little League
Manhattan Soccer Club
New Amsterdam Fencing Academy
West Side Tae kwon Do

I'll post a separate list of kid-appropriate restaurants

Monday, September 21, 2009

New Life in the West Side 90's

I'll admit it, retail in the 90's has been pretty dismal over the last few years. Broadway is a wasteland, and Amsterdam and Columbus have not been much better. The 90's has been a location to pass through, on your way to the 80's.

There have been some lonely exceptions, to be sure. Genarro Restaurant has been feeding my family since we moved to the neighborhood in '98. Mani Market is a local joy. We have a great farmer's market on Fridays. And that's been about it.

Until now.

Put the Whole Foods on 97th and Columbus into the category of IF YOU BUILD IT, THEY WILL COME...the new store is busy every day and PACKED on weekends. It's bringing people in from all over the upper westside (my guess is those people who don't live in walking distance of Fairway, so north of 86th into the 100's).

Whole Foods is a game changer for the neighborhood.

In addition to Whole Foods, there are some other bright spots popping up. Upper 90 is a soccer and sports shop that just opened on Amsterdam and 94th. Filled with knowledgeable and friendly soccer coaches, this feels like a throwback to the mom and pop places of my youth. It's the antithesis of the anonymous sports behemoths at a mall near you. The people at Upper 90 seem to want you to stay, chat, watch soccer on their big screen tv and have your child get excited about their sport.

There's a new dog grooming salon opening on Amsterdam as well (not opened yet as of this writing). But it's exciting to see these kind of services in what had been the wasteland of the Upper West Side. Edgar's Cafe just opened a second branch on Amsterdam and 90th as well.

These may be tiny indicators, but I'm hopeful about our pocket of the world. It's a great place to live and raise your family, and more people will get to see why it's so special.

Now, if we can only convince Danny Meyer to look Northward....

Did I mention that Whole Foods has tables where you can buy your food and sit?

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Why Use A Small Firm

We are often asked by prospective clients why they would want to choose a small real estate firm over a large established one. Similarly, I've seen postings on boards about ignoring listings from smaller firms.

First of all, the easy answer is it's often not about the brokerage; it's about the broker or salesperson representing the property. It doesn't matter if you have a huge name behind you if your broker is inexperienced, or unethical, unfamiliar with the marketplace or unavailable. You want the person working for you to be there 100% and to have a deep understanding of the current marketplace. If you are selling your home, you don't want a rental broker. If you are selling a townhouse, you want someone who has sold other townhouses.

My partner, Marty, and myself work as a team for every listing. That means that either he or I will be showing every single time. Many brokers hire assistants with little or no knowledge of the listings, the buildings, the property, the neighborhood, and these assistants do a lion's share of the showings. To me that's like buying a ticket for Broadway and getting community theater. It's not what you signed up for.

As for a small firm versus a large firm: I can only speak for my own company. In terms of marketing dollars, we spend more per listing than most large firms. We still advertise in the NY TIMES on line. We make every listing a featured listing on Streeteasy. We spend a lot on our color brochures, which are significantly bigger and better in quality than a large firms. We are a member of the Real Estate Board of New York (REBNY) which mandates that we send out our exclusives with a 24 hour period of having the exclusive. That means that we post the listing on the unofficial MLS which gets distributed to about 10,000 brokers in Manhattan. It is virtually the same exact system that every large firm uses.

As a small firm, we have no bureaucracy, which means we have flexibility in commissions. There is no back office--when you want to speak to a manager, we are right in front of you. As for visibility, I would say that because of the rise of Streeteasy, we have the same visibility as every other firm listed there. Streeteasy was a game changer for NY real estate sales.We have a website that gets a significant amount of hits every day, and those are hits that come from Streeteasy or the Times, so we know those are interested parties. Our website is much easier to navigate and understand than at least 2 of the big firm's sites.I'd be pretty frustrated if my listing was on some of those places- they practically discourage you from browsing.

At Rand Realty, our motto is small firm, big difference. We believe in the importance of the relationship with our clients, and we have had great success in the past several years proving what a difference we can make.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Don't Shoot the Messenger!

I've been lucky in my career that most of the people I work with are lovely, sophisticated people who have entrusted my partner and myself to work hard on their behalf. On the client/sell side, I have a fiduciary responsibility to make as much as I can for my client. On the buy side, I feel a moral obligation to help my buyer purchase something, not only for a great price, but something that will make sense for them moving forward. I've talked a lot of people out of apartments because I didn't think it was the right match. I think I've also persuaded a lot of people to jump in when they were hesitant.

Clearly, now is a time of great hesitancy and tentativeness. The pervasive saying among my real estate colleagues is that people are circling but not pulling the trigger.
I'm not an economist and I won't make grandiose predictions about market liquidity, inventory, or macroeconomics. But I do know with certainty a few valid facts:

1.When sellers accept the new realities of the current NYC marketplace (meaning 25% off from the peak), they often can sell their property. If it's a special home, they will have an easier time, but even if it's special, they still have to take into account current market conditions.


2. It's not (always) the brokers fault that the price is too high or that it hasn't moved. I know lots of brokers who wanted to price more aggressively but complied (against their better judgment no doubt) with the seller. Then the broker gets stuck, and the seller gets angry. Or stubborn. Or intransigent. This is a hard position for a broker--they want to keep the listing, but they know that the price is an obstacle. The best they can hope for is that someone will make an offer and they negotiate their sellers into a place where they are happy.


3. Sometimes it
is the broker. I've also spoken to several brokers who are either unwilling to admit that their listing is overpriced, or were willing to compromise their better judgment in order to get the listing in the first place. They should be careful what they wish for, because they'll end up spending a lot of time in empty open houses, staring at their Blackberry.

4. People seem to have in inordinate anger towards brokers, as if we control the marketplace. We don't manipulate it, we navigate through it. We are hardly the market makers that some would attribute to us. Some of us are underhanded, some of us are just dumb, but the vitriol I read on real estate boards is not commensurate with our ability to affect change in the marketplace.

It's also kind of creepy. I can't figure out who these angry people are--(and they are ALL ANONYMOUS....those brave souls who can say anything under the guise of a nom de plume). Are they sad, lonely and unemployed, still living in their mother's basements? Did they once date a real estate broker who broke their heart? Are they the same anonymous drones who call Rush Limbaugh?


5. Brokers can advocate extremely well on your behalf. We have knowledge of co-op boards, procedural events, networking abilities. We have long memories of who wants to sell, or who wants to buy. We know which buildings have a high maintenance, or which block has an annual Halloween party. We have access to mortgage brokers, contractors, designers, architects. Maybe the way brokers make commission will evolve, but for now, we take the commission from the seller (who is often glad to give it to us because we perform a service).
Don't blame the messenger because you're angry about pricing or discounts or world affairs, or the post office. We're here to help.

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

More on schools

I'm re-printing an article from today's NY Times on getting into the local elementary school. I think it's worth re-considering if you're giving something up to stay in a certain school district, because it might not guarantee you a spot. If that's the case, why not move to a home you love and fight for whatever school you want your kid to get into?

In other words, why pay for PS 6 or 87, when you can have a bigger apt for less money but not in the school district?

March 24, 2009

Children Face Rejection by Neighborhood Schools in Manhattan

When Jeanne Shapiro received two letters on Saturday from Public School 290 on the Upper East Side, where she always assumed she would send her twin daughters, her husband cracked a joke about the way thin envelopes from college admissions offices tended to bear bad news. Mrs. Shapiro just laughed; P.S. 290 was a block and a half from the family’s apartment, she figured, and every New Yorker knows that an address in a good school zone is tantamount to a guaranteed kindergarten seat.

But the letters said the 5-year-olds had been placed on a waiting list for the school, on East 82nd Street.

“We were so flabbergasted we missed our stop on our elevator,” Mrs. Shapiro said. “We didn’t even push the button because we didn’t even believe what we were reading.”

The Shapiro twins were among about three dozen children put on a waiting list at P.S. 290 in what parents and public officials in some of New York’s priciest precincts fear will become the first season in which Manhattan children will be turned away from their neighborhood schools. The combination of overcrowded classrooms in neighborhoods newly inundated with young children, a recession that is causing some families to rethink expensive private schools, and a new citywide admissions process that requires people to sign up for kindergarten earlier has spread fear of lotteries and rejections across playgrounds and online discussion groups.

“In the past there was anxiety on the part of parents who had a zoned school they considered not desirable,” said Robin Aronow, who runs a school admissions consulting firm, School Search NYC. “Now that anxiety has stretched its way to even the families who have a desirable option, about whether that option will be available.”

Andrew Jacob, a spokesman for the Department of Education, warned that the enrollment picture could change by September. Because the new process required people to sign up for their local schools earlier than in previous years, many who registered for zoned schools may choose to send their children to gifted-and-talented programs — which will not announce their placements until June — or to private schools.

“It’s far too soon to speculate about which schools will actually be capped in September,” he said. “The number of students who are interested in attending a school in the spring is often very different from the number who actually still want to attend the school in the fall.”

Mr. Jacob said families should wait until September, when schools that are oversubscribed make arrangements with the Department of Education to handle the overflow. In the past, he noted, city schools outside Manhattan have capped enrollments, though it has not happened before in Manhattan neighborhoods that are sought after for their schools. This year, 34 schools outside Manhattan have done so.

“The bottom line is schools have to accommodate all of their zoned students unless they work out a capping plan with us, and that happens in September,” he said. “Even if they get to the point in September where some schools still have more zoned students that want to attend than we have seats, we work with them to see if there is a way to accommodate more students.”

But parents and public officials say that it is not enough to hope that slots free up. On the Upper East Side, City Councilwoman Jessica S. Lappin said her office had been inundated with calls from people who received letters from P.S. 290 saying their children were not being offered one of its 125 kindergarten seats “at this time.”

“We sincerely hope that we will be able to accommodate all zoned families seeking a seat at P.S. 290 in the 2009-2010 school year,” wrote the school’s principal, Sharon Hill, without offering parents guidance on how to proceed.

Ms. Lappin faulted the mayor and the schools chancellor, not individual principals, for the situation.

“How do you send letters to families telling them that their kids are not going to their zoned school and have no plan in place for them?” she said in an interview. “That’s outrageous.

“The whole foundation of this system,” she added, “is that you’re supposed to, at a local level, be able to send your kid to a school in the neighborhood.”

Other schools may also create waiting lists. At P.S. 87 on the Upper West Side, Mr. Jacob said, 200 children zoned for the school applied for 175 seats. P.S. 59, on East 63rd Street, had 149 applications for 100 seats and P.S. 6 had 163 applicants for 150 seats. While some of the current crunch may be eased by people choosing private schools, public schools could also find themselves having to make room for private school refugees. Dr. Aronow, the consultant, said that just last week, she met with three new clients who were considering pulling their children out of private school for financial reasons.

Late last spring, some parents whose children were zoned for P.S. 234, in TriBeCa, and P.S. 89, in Battery Park City, were placed on waiting lists, although the schools ended up admitting all of them. This year, two new schools are opening in Lower Manhattan to help ease the crowding.

But the Department of Education did not rezone the neighborhoods to delineate who should attend the existing schools and who should go to the new ones, instead having P.S. 234 and P.S. 89 hold lotteries.

Faith Paris Aarons, who lives opposite P.S. 234, said she was “completely outraged” to learn that her son had not been admitted.

“If I had known this, I don’t know if I would have continued to stay here in Manhattan,” she said.

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Manhattan Valley

Nobody calls it Manhattan Valley, except maybe some planning wonk, or the NY Times search engine. It does actually have some geographical boundaries, as there really does exist a valley. Let's forget that though and map out what people think of when they hear that name, and why people should be thinking about it more...

Loosely, Manhattan Valley runs from north of 96th street on the westside, until 110 street when Morningside Heights begins. (Some people think it stops at 107th and Strauss Park. I'm talking loosely here).

There are those people who think that anything North of 96th street is Harlem. Not that there's anything wrong with Harlem, but it's just ignorance (and, I think, a little racism). Manhattan Valley still feels like an old time neighborhood. It's filled with musicians, and professors, and other relics of an upper middle class that can't really afford to live here anymore.

Manhattan Valley has always been less expensive than south of 96th street. There are signs though, that the gap is closing.

One dramatic change to the neighborhood has been the Ariel development on Broadway and 99th street. Not only did they permanently alter the skyline, but they have infused the neighborhood with a clientele hungry for amenities, restaurants, and something retail other than Duane Reade. (It's a shame that Oppenheimer Meats couldn't hold on, because I bet they'd make it now...). The retail climate along Broadway from 96th until say 105th (anchored by Henry's restaurant on one side and Silver Moon Bakery on the other) is pretty dismal. But I'd bet that will change over the next couple of years. On Amsterdam there are big retail stores and luxury rentals) rising on 99th street, and on Columbus from 97th-99th, it's a virtual strip mall with all the favorites--WHOLE FOODS, Modells(Welcome to suburbia!) Michaels arts and crafts (no strip mall should be without!). I think people will embrace it.

West of Broadway for the entire length of Manhattan Valley couldn't be prettier. West End Avenue has many significant buildings, as does Riverside Drive. My favorite is the Clebourne, on WEA (but built until Broadway) and 105th. It is the Grande Dame of WEA, built for rich people in 1912, on the site of the old Strauss mansion (who perished in the Titanic in 1912). Strauss Park is named for them as well...The Clebourne was referred to as the Dakota of the North.

East of Broadway is a block by block affair. There are some interesting pockets: Manhattan Avenue Townhouses, for example, and lots of apts between Broadway and Amsterdam. But there is also a lot of public housing, tenements and run down apts that give a gloomy feel to the area. Having said that, 455 CPW is a luxury condo that seems to do pretty well. I've already posted my feelings about Park West Village, which I think has tremendous value that will only increase.

Some people will not look above the 70's, and for others, school catchment is their biggest concern (although I've posted my opinion about buying for school placement as well...). I would argue that before buying in the over crowded, over hyped 70's or 80's, you give the 90's or the 100's a look see. BTW, both Riverside Park and Central Park are splendid in this area. North Meadow is where most of the ball fields are located (as well as Riverside park from 101 to 104th street). Sal and Carmines has the best pizza outside of Staten Island. Silver Moon Bakery has the best bread in Manhattan. Absolute bagels are sublime. Smoke is a renowned jazz club. Mama Mexico is a local favorite. The hummus at Samad's (111th, but work with me here) is unparalleled.

(Neighbors, feel free to add you thoughts to what's special about the area...)

Docks

R.I.P.

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

Schadenfreude

It's my favorite German term ever. In the movie business, it's part of one's every day work life. It means taking pleasure from other people's misfortune. Here's what i don't understand: people on the NY Real Estate blogs bubbling with schadenfreude over the downward market.

Some of it I get: the frustrated masses, long shut out of the real estate market, trying to raise a family in NY. It's the only place I know of where being middle class, or even Upper Middle Class, gets you almost nowhere. These people are positively giddy over the prospect of finally being able to afford a home.

Almost every post I read is either about A) the poster's total hatred of real estate brokers or B) How the market is still crashing and prices will reach absurd numbers not seen since the 80's. They relish every price drop, they snicker at every closing price.

But here's the thing: this country, their friends, their neighbors, their family...don't they know someone who is suffering? It's like they are echoing the sickly cries of Rush Limbaugh. They are hoping for the NY Real Estate Market to crash.

Aren't their 401K's affected? Haven't they lost a percentage of their net worth? I don't know one person in NY who hasn't been affected by the downturn in some real way. Aren't these people getting giddy at their own expense? At some point, isn't it bad taste to relish others misfortunes?

Isn't their hostility misplaced?


Sunday, January 25, 2009

Open House Report

I have learned a few things since the collapse of Lehman Brothers (widely accepted as the death knell of the NY RE market). 1. No one is recession proof. 2. Even people who are still ready to buy are pausing. Their retirements portfolios are down 40%, they may still have a job, but there were cuts in their department or they are waiting for the market to bottom out. I am not a numbers cruncher, so I can only report my tiny sliver of the market, but I am encouraged by what I see. Here's what I can tell you: In the last 3 weeks, I've held open houses for a listing that was recently reduced to under a million. It is easily priced at 25% under the peak price. The first week, I had 30 unique visitors to the open house (meaning I had more than 30 people, some were in groups or with brokers). The next 2 weeks I had 15 unique buyers. Those are strong numbers, any way you look at it. Granted, I don't have an accepted offer, but there are lots of people who are ready to make the move. It may take twice as long (or three times as long or four times as long), but the buyers are out there. I heard about a well priced family sized apt on the Upper west Side that had 50 unique buyers through the doors during last week's open house. I'm not predicting an immediate turnaround. I'm not predicting anything at all. (Even my smart Wall Street friends are no longer predicting). But I do think that it's possible that a combination of astonishingly low interest rates and low prices will make buying sooner rather than later a reality instead of a temptation.
There are those who will wait to see if prices drop further (and they may). I believe that if you're in it for the long haul, it won't matter much if prices drop another 15%. You'll be in the apartment when they've risen another 30% over time. And you'll have the joy of living in a home that you love while everyone else is still waiting for the other shoe to drop.

Friday, January 9, 2009

The Truth About Townhouses

Now that the market is, um, correcting, it poses an opportunity for some people to take advantage and jump into to real estate. I realize that not everyone has several million dollars to invest in a home, but for those who do, a townhouse is a beautiful way to live.

A vacant townhouse is always a premium, but sometimes you can buy a townhouse with rent stabilized tenants and empty it over time. I've sold several homes to people who were taking them over for their own use, and have gotten a great deal. Maybe you only need to live in half the space for several years as your family grows. Then you even have income to offset the costs.

How many couples argue over leaving the city? I hear it all the time: the husband is ready to go, and the wife, (rightly) concerned about her quality of life is reluctant to leave. If she's the primary caregiver, she'll be the one in the minivan schlepping all day long. A townhouse is the perfect compromise to the suburban alternative.

Some people are "view" people. They want to look out their window and see lots of sky, or the Park, or the River. I get it; it can be pretty spectacular. Some people are "amenities" people...they want the doorman to take the dry cleaning, they want the gym in the basement, and the super to take care of leaks. I get that as well.

But those people who can be persuaded to leave those things behind, a townhouse offers so much more.

First of all, on a square foot basis, a townhouse is generally a better value than an apartment. In a townhouse, you're usually getting a minimum of 3000 sf, up to what can easily be 7000 sf. Let's take an average 18 sf townhouse of 4 stories and call it 4500 usable sf. Let's not forget the additional 400 sf of outdoor space on the garden level, and say an additional terrace somewhere off of the extension of 150 sf. A vacant townhouse (which will need work, no doubt) will run you more or less $1000 per sf, but it soon could be less than that. When you're finished with a high end renovation, it'll have cost you $1200 to $1400 per sf, and you'll have everything you've ever wanted in a home without leaving for the suburbs. Let's discuss further before we talk about townhouse particulars:

If you're buying a townhouse, you have kids. Maybe lots of them. Are you constantly worried about them bouncing a ball above your neighbor's heads and having the doorman call you to complain? Fear no more. What about a big classic eight apartment that still only has 1 kids bath? It's still $4M, with no outdoor space, and not a lot of room to roam.

Do you have a dog? Tired of that midnight walk to insure that your Oriental carpet isn't ruined further? A townhouse provides the answers. Not to mention that it can provide that Viking BBQ that you've secretly always coveted. Most townhouses were built with multiple gas burning or wood burning fireplaces. How many apts have one or more functioning fireplaces? It's easy to dismiss it, but mid-January when you smell someone burning a fire in their hearth, doesn't make you a tad wistful?

A townhouse affords you more privacy than the average apt. Unless you have 14 rooms somewhere, even a sprawling apt doesn't really keep the kids out of your hair. But if you have a playroom, or your own study, there's room for peace as well as play. It's a fallacy that townhouses are dark--it depends how it's situated, but a north/south townhouse generally gets great sun in different places through the day.

There are many different period of townhouse styles (and that's a different post). In the village, you'll find a lot of Federal, Greek Revival and Georgian (mid to late 19th century), but on the Upper West, there are far more 20th century homes, many in a Queen Anne, Romanesque or Revival style. I live in a townhouse built around 1907 for German laborers (who had come to NY to build fancier townhouses). My home (17') was specifically constructed for the middle class.

The structure of a townhouse is pretty standard. They vary in width, anywhere from 13' to over 25'. (14' is pretty small, but I've seen it work many times. The rooms are still 13' across). A 25' townhouse, usually built in limestone and not brownstone, were generally built as mansions and feel that way. They are extraordinary. The gold standard for a townhouse is generally 20', but 17' and 18' are pretty common as well. Even in a 17' townhouse you can usually accommodate an elevator (which may sound dumb and unnecessary but it's important for re-sale and your in-laws will appreciate it. It costs about $100,000 to install). In addition, a 17' townhouse, you can still split one big room and make it 2 kid's rooms, each of a decent size.

Some townhouses have basements below the ground floor that can be dug out even further, which allows for things like a kid's playroom, a wine cellar, a screening room. All of the trappings of Suburbia without the Sam's Club. Some townhouses have the mechanicals on the ground floor and no basement. This is often referred to as an "English Basement" and the ceiling height is usually over 8'.

The location of the stairs also changes the feeling of the home. A center staircase rather than a straight staircase, allows for more gracious rooms on either side of it. I've noticed that many narrow townhouses have a center stair to make them appear more gracious inside.

The ground floor is often used as the kitchen floor which leads out to the garden. Depending on your needs, people often create a guest room or staff room on this floor as well.

The parlor floor is the entrance off of the stoop. Many townhouses were built with stoops, although there are some built with the original entrance on the street. The parlor floor was built as the receiving floors. They were always the most ornate, with the highest ceilings, most intricate woodwork. Many people have installed their kitchens and living rooms on this floor instead of the ground floor, but that was not the original layout.

Often a townhouse was built with an extension off the back that usually makes a great study on the parlor floor (and then becomes a terrace because it usually wasn't built the entire height of the home).

The next 2 or 3 floors are for the bedrooms. Historically, the master bedroom floor was located right above the parlor, and then the children's rooms and then the staff rooms. Depending on the width, one can easily get 3 or bedrooms per floor, and as many as 2 baths (and a laundry room!)

There's often room to build up, generally a half a floor with another terrace.This floor will often have extraordinary light as well.

If you're lucky, you'll also get a terrace for your morning coffee, and a giant walk in closet for your master suite. There's usually enough room for a home office as well as a den. And the short commute makes a real difference in everyone's lives.

To me, it beats a McMansion in Larchmont any day.

Saturday, January 3, 2009

Park West Village and a Tale of Two Condos



First, a (very) brief history of the cluster of buildings known as PARK WEST VILLAGE. There are four, independently run condos (372 CPW, 382 CPW, 392 CPW and 400 CPW) that form a quadrangle on 97-100 streets and Columbus and CPW. Built in the 60's (and they share that post-war, slightly Soviet looking brick exterior), the buildings were converted to condos in the early 80's. Because they've been condos so long, they have VERY low carrying costs as well as low real estate taxes. They each have their own amenities inside, but they share a common parking lot, as well as gardens and playgrounds. IMHO (although I think this is common knowledge) 372 CPW (or THE VAUX, as it is officially named but I think that smacks of desperation in trying to sound fancier...sort of like naming your kid Tiffany) is the jewel in the Park West Crown. It's actually ON CPW and 97, and many units have fantastic views (more on that later). It also has a renovated and tasteful lobby and a lovely new gym, as well as a huge community room with a library, a bike room, and a children's play room. There are nominal monthly fees for the gym, the bike room and the playroom. The on-site parking, for which is there is several year waiting list, is currently $175 monthly. Yup, you read correctly. The going rate in that neighborhood is about $450 monthly, so you'd save $3300 annually when you hit the lottery and get off the waiting list.


After 372, I think 400 is the best run building, also with excellent facilities. It too, sits right on CPW, at 100 street.

Maybe because of the subsidized housing look of the exterior, or the location just past the 96th street invisible border of the "good upper west side", or the relative proximity of the housing projects on Manhattan Avenue and 100th street, Park West Village has tended to be undervalued. Even at the height of the market, apts with full on Park views and Park facing terraces were trading at $1000 per sf, sometimes a little more. (In February, an 1141 2 bed 2 bath with full on Park Views and a north facing terrace sold for $1400 per sf. That's certainly a new record, and one that will stand for quite some time, I'm sure. It was a beautiful renovation).

Which leads me to part 2 of Park West Village: A Tale of 2 Condos.

I currently have apt 17C on the market at $1,350,000. It's the same unit as the one that sold for $1400 per sf, only this is 9 floors higher. The views are breathtaking. I'm asking $1125 per sf. Did I mention the views? The apartment has a renovated kitchen, but in general could use some updating. Still...


Now I'd like to comparison shop with a nearby condo, which in many ways is the perfect comp:

Apt. 22A in the Ariel East, located on 99th and Broadway. It's a new development, and arguably a more aesthetically pleasing exterior. (Although, frankly, it depends on whom you ask). Because the building is new construction, there are tax abatements in effect for the next 10 years.

Their asking price: $2,510,000 ($1552 per sf)

Ours: $1,350,000 ($1125 per sf)

Their cc: $1915.00
Ours: $631

Their taxes: $82 monthly, increasing by 20% every 2 years
Ours: $368

372 CPW is only a few hundred sf smaller than the Ariel, (and BTW, their measuring includes a certain percentage of common space, and they measure from outside wall to outside wall. I think the net difference is much smaller than the quoted sf would imply). Our second bedroom is actually the same size as their master bedroom, and our second bedroom is larger as well. We both have a terrace. Our view is better. They have a larger terrace (but still...they BOTH have terraces). We have a STUNNING VIEW.

Which apt makes more sense? Which is the better investment? Which has the better view? I leave those questions for you to decide. If you're looking for a condo, don't overlook Park west Village. By the way, there are new luxury rentals going up at Columbus and 97th. They will house a new Whole Foods, a Modells, a Borders (if it doesn't go bankrupt), a Michael's arts and crafts store, 2 new schools (Mandell school expansion and Solomon Schecter) and a TJ Maxx. That addition to the neighborhood will only improve the value of apts at park West Village.

Friday, December 19, 2008

The School Debate

Nothing gets people more riled up than talking about NYC schools. (OK, maybe politics, but the school debate pretty much is politics writ small).

For those buyers who are sending their children to private school, the choice of where to live can be liberating: it doesn't really matter. Why live in the PS 87 school district when you can find the same apartment for less money nearby and your kid is going to Trinity anyway?

For most people, private school is not an option. Now more than ever, people are giving a hard look at what the public schools have to offer. It may be apocryphal, but I've been hearing that applications for financial aid at private schools is way up, and that new applications at private schools are way down. It wouldn't surprise me.


For full disclosure, my kids are at a private school, so I haven't had to navigate the Soviet-like bureaucracy of public schools. However, my partner at Rand Realty, Marty Krasnoff, has his child at Manhattan School for Children, and he had applied to all kinds of programs, including gifted and talented programs, the Anderson Program, and the Hunter program.

  • Here's the thing: You have to apply for those programs no matter where you live in Manhattan. They are not catchment programs, so it DOESN'T MATTER. (You do have to live in the district where you're applying for a standard G and T, but not the catchment). OK, but those programs are very selective and they are basically like winning the lottery you may say. You can't count on it. True, you can't count on it. But there are a lot of gifted and talented programs out there, not just those.
  • The "hot" school of today may evolve, and not only for the better. The "up and coming" school may be tomorrow's hot school. Just ask those parents at PS 199, which is bursting at the seams. There are all kinds of fights going on at that school, most recently because the parents of the Riverside BLVD condos have been re-routed to another public school. Those parents are furious, but I bet that the new school will improve in a hurry.
  • PS 166 for example, is an under the radar school with an excellent G and T program, and some other accomplishments. When looking for an apartment, do your research before you rule out a specific catchment.
  • If you have a newborn, and you are planning where to buy based on kindergarten in 5 years, you could be making a mistake. Everything changes. Buy the best apartment you can buy that will hold its re-sale value and that will make your family happy. Make it close to a pre-school or two where you can walk your kid to school in a couple of years. Beyond that, everything will change.
  • Having said that, PS 87 has been a great elementary school for a generation, as has PS 6. (But even PS 6 is getting re-zoned.) If you can afford those districts, it's like winning a mini-lottery.
By the way, once your child is enrolled at a school, there is often a sibling policy (which they are debating changing). In addition, I'm fairly certain that if your kid goes to PS 87 and you move, your kid can stay at the school. So now's the time to think about leaving that one bedroom for Morningside Heights!

Here's a helpful nyc school website: http://maps.nycboe.net/

Here's an article which touches on some of the school madness:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/05/education/05rezone.html?pagewanted=print

and one other:

http://nymag.com/news/features/41277/

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

State of the Market-Buyers Edition

The good news is that with mortgage rates so low, and the credit squeeze loosening, now can be a great time to purchase an apartment. Before you get all cynical ("of course she's saying that now's a good time to buy, she's a broker, blah blah blah) let me state my case:

First of all, I'm addressing this post to buyers who intend to occupy their apartment. If you're an investor, I'd still say there are some bargains out there, but that's not really the focus of my work.

For those people who are looking for a home, the market is loaded with opportunity. Prices are down 20%-25% from their peak. You may ask me, why jump in now when layoffs are just gaining momentum, and the economy is in a world of hurt? How do we know that prices won't fall another 25%?

I don't know for sure, but I really doubt it. I don't think that last year's $2 million classic six will sell next year for $1 million. That's wishful thinking, and for so many reasons, it's highly unlikely. But last year's $2 million classic six might go for $1.5 pretty soon. If you are buying it to stay in and raise your family, then you'll be there for 5-10 years. If you are an empty nester and are retiring here (I see that more and more often) then ditto, you're planning on staying for at least 5-10 years. If you don't think the real estate market will rebound before then, then you should move to Maine, stuff your money under the mattress, and wait for the aliens to land.

By the time people have figured out that the market has rebounded, it's already on its way back up. That makes you competing with many others and that's what drives prices up. That brings bidding wars.

In addition, the most important aspect of purchasing a home is quality of life. You can't quantify what it will mean to you and your family to have a home that you love. Granted, for most people, it's their most important asset, and they don't want to overpay. But I know so many people who have been sitting on the sidelines, waiting for this exact moment. They've spent years in an apartment that was too small, or too dark. At a certain point, the emotional needs can outweigh the financial paradigms.

I read a ton of postings by people who have no intention of buying an apartment, arguing that the markets will go down, it's stupid to buy, it makes more financial sense to wait etc. I don't think those people are buyers. They are observers. When you're ready to buy, you're ready because of so many reasons, market conditions being only some of them.

It's always better to start educating yourself about the market before you're ready. When you finally do see the perfect apt, you'll know it. The worst thing that can happen is that you fall in love with the first thing you see. Then you'll be afraid to jump in, and it'll be gone by the time you realize it was right for you all along.

Get yourself educated. Go to open houses...they are designed for tire kickers. Talk to brokers. See if you find any who you feel understand your needs and your particular situation. Even if you are internet savvy, a good broker can help with many aspects of a purchase...the board package for one. In addition, a good broker can negotiate on your behalf in ways that you may not be able to do for yourself. And a good broker has networks and contacts that a buyer does not have. If you love a particular building, your broker might be able to find you something that's not even on the market yet....not all brokers are used car salesmen...